The TRUMP token is facing heightened volatility ahead of a scheduled $409 million unlock on April 18, raising fears of a severe price crash. With the meme coin already down 86.1% from its January peak, the event has traders debating whether the market can withstand the added sell pressure.
Background
- Initially announced through Donald Trump’s X and Truth Social platform, the TRUMP token made waves earlier in 2025 as the political figurehead embraced cryptocurrency amid his renewed presidential campaign.
- Riding high on speculation, media buzz, and the prospect of pro-crypto policies, the token soared to an all-time high of $73.43 in January.
- Since then, the token’s momentum has sharply reversed, with current prices sitting around $10.23—an 86.2% drawdown.
- Scheduled for April 18, the token unlock will inject $409 million worth of TRUMP tokens into circulation, an event highlighted by a crypto trader Kaizen on X.
- The unlock raises concerns of increased supply overwhelming demand, potentially triggering more aggressive selloffs and another leg down for the coin.
Why Should You Pay Attention?
- Token unlocks of this scale often precede major price drops—especially when paired with already bearish sentiment.
- TRUMP’s 14.7% decline over the past week has added fuel to fears that the unlock could drive the coin closer to its all-time low of $3.
- With the token’s value already battered and market confidence fragile, this event could be a tipping point.
- Investors, traders, and the overall crypto community are now closely monitoring how the unlock will play out—whether early stakeholders will dump holdings or if speculative buying might absorb some of the shock.
- With TRUMP among the most politically visible meme tokens, its performance could also influence sentiment around similar assets.
Who Said What?
- Crypto trader Kaizen, who highlighted the unlock, wrote:
“Nice $TRUMP unlock soon. Will short this to zero before the unlock. $409M unlock lol.”
- X user SGL shared a macro view of the token’s unique market mechanics:
“When the largest players in a market are not profit-maximizers, markets can behave very differently than fundamental or technical analysis would lead one to believe. $TRUMP traders likely looking for favor, not max profits.”
- Another X user Coolnyul speculated on timing strategies:
“Many will try to do it [short] a few days before as they would want to stay liquid as long as possible. Might be better to enter a bit early to front-run the masses.”
- Tweetscount, another user on X summed up the surreal nature of meme coin dynamics:
“Bold of you to assume reality still applies to this market.”
Zooming Out
- TRUMP’s rise and fall mirrors the lifecycle of many celebrity charged or hype-driven tokens—explosive growth, short-term euphoria, and eventual correction.
- The April unlock may act as a stress test for both investor resolve and market structure.
- Should the sell pressure overwhelm buyers, it could spark renewed debate around the long-term viability of meme tokens with little intrinsic value beyond brand recognition.
- Yet even with bearish sentiment, the token’s future remains unpredictable. If new narratives or political headlines emerge in Trump’s favor—or if high-profile backers intervene—TRUMP could find new momentum. Until then, all eyes are on April 18.
